PolicyBrief
S.CON.RES. 7
119th CongressFeb 21st 2025
An original concurrent resolution setting forth the congressional budget for the United States Government for fiscal year 2025 and setting forth the appropriate budgetary levels for fiscal years 2026 through 2034.
SENATE PASSED

This concurrent resolution sets the federal budget for fiscal year 2025 and establishes budgetary levels for fiscal years 2026-2034, outlining spending and revenue plans, reconciliation instructions for committees, reserve funds, and other budgetary procedures. It aims to guide government spending and fiscal policy over the next decade.

Lindsey Graham
R

Lindsey Graham

Senator

SC

PartyTotal VotesYesNoDid Not Vote
Democrat
450450
Independent
2020
Republican
535210
LEGISLATION

Congress's 2025 Budget Blueprint: Trillion-Dollar Deficits and Spending Shifts Through 2034

The new Congressional budget resolution for fiscal year 2025 is out, and it's a roadmap for federal spending all the way through 2034. This isn't just a one-year plan; it sets the stage for a decade of government financial decisions, projecting revenues, spending, and, crucially, deficits.

The Big Picture: Dollars and Deficits

This resolution lays out some serious numbers. For 2025, it projects $3.85 trillion in federal revenue, but spending is pegged at $4.64 trillion. That's a $783 billion deficit, and those deficits are projected to keep climbing, hitting over $1 trillion annually by 2028 (Sec. 1101). To put that in perspective, imagine adding close to a trillion dollars each year to the national credit card. The total public debt? It's projected to balloon to over $48 trillion by 2034 (Sec. 1101). The resolution also states that federal revenues are not expected to change relative to current policy from 2025-2034 (Sec. 1101).

Where Your Money Goes: From Defense to Medicare

The resolution breaks down spending across major government functions (Sec. 1102). National Defense gets a hefty chunk, starting at $933.481 billion in 2025 and rising to over a trillion by 2034. Health and Medicare also see significant allocations, with Medicare alone reaching $1.666 trillion by 2034. Meanwhile, areas like Energy and Agriculture see fluctuating, and in some cases decreasing, budget authority over the decade. For example, a farmer relying on federal agricultural programs might see shifts in available funding based on these projections.

Showdown at the Committee Corral: Reconciliation Instructions

Here's where things get interesting. Title II, the "Reconciliation" section (Sec. 2001, 2002), directs various House and Senate committees to propose specific law changes. Some, like Agriculture, Education and Workforce, and Energy and Commerce, are told to find ways to reduce the deficit. Others, including Armed Services, Homeland Security, and the Judiciary, are allowed to increase the deficit, but within set limits. Think of it like this: some committees are told to tighten their belts, while others get a bit more leeway, but everyone has a target to hit by March 7, 2025. These changes could mean real-world impacts, depending on what specific laws each committee decides to tweak.

Budget Tweaks and Twists: Reserve Funds

Title III (Sec. 3001, 3002) creates "reserve funds." Essentially, these allow the Budget Committee chairs to adjust budgets if new legislation comes along that fits within the overall deficit goals. It's a bit like having a financial buffer for unexpected expenses or policy changes. Section 4005 also lets the Budget Committees adjust figures if there are changes in budget concepts and definitions. While this provides flexibility, it also means the numbers could shift down the line.

Bottom Line

While the resolution doesn't include specific policy changes, it sets the financial boundaries for those debates. The projected deficits and the instructions to committees highlight the ongoing tension between funding government programs and managing the national debt. The details will emerge as individual committees propose and debate specific legislation, but this resolution provides the framework, and the clock is ticking.