PolicyBrief
H.R. 7955
119th CongressMar 17th 2026
Banning Event Trading on Sensitive Operations and Federal Functions Act
IN COMMITTEE

The BETS OFF Act prohibits wagering on sensitive government, military, and geopolitical events, such as acts of terrorism, war, or assassinations.

Gregorio Casar
D

Gregorio Casar

Representative

TX-35

LEGISLATION

BETS OFF Act Bans Wagering on Terrorism and War: New Federal Rules to Take Effect Within 30 Days.

The BETS OFF Act is a direct move to stop people from treats like war, assassinations, and terrorist attacks like a weekend parlay. The bill makes it illegal to place or accept a 'wager'—staking anything of value—on 'specified events.' These are defined as government-controlled or sensitive events that aren't primarily about money or commerce, such as a military invasion or a political assassination. If someone tries to run a book on whether a world leader survives the week, the Attorney General now has the green light to shut them down with federal injunctions under Section 3.

Closing the Prediction Market Casino

For the average person, this bill draws a hard line between investing and gambling on tragedy. It specifically targets prediction markets and digital trading platforms that might try to list 'contracts' on the outcome of a conflict. By amending the Commodity Exchange Act (Section 4), the bill ensures these events can’t be traded on formal financial exchanges. This means if you’re a software developer or a retail trader using these apps, you’ll likely see these 'death pools' or 'war markets' disappear from your dashboard entirely. The goal is to prevent anyone from having a financial incentive to see a crisis escalate.

Protecting the Safety Net

One of the smartest parts of this bill is how it handles the fine print for regular folks. Section 2 makes it clear that 'wagers' do not include legitimate insurance. If you’re a small business owner with a policy that covers terrorism (under the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act) or a farmer with federal crop insurance, you’re in the clear. The bill distinguishes between someone betting on a disaster for a payout and a property owner protecting their livelihood. It ensures that while the 'casino' for global misery closes, the actual safety nets we rely on for our homes and businesses stay intact.

Federal Teeth and Racketeering

This isn't just a slap on the wrist; the bill integrates these bans into heavy-duty law enforcement tools. By amending 18 U.S.C. 1952 and 1955, the act classifies betting on these sensitive events as a form of illegal gambling that can trigger racketeering charges. This puts these bets in the same legal category as organized crime operations. For anyone running a digital platform, the stakes just got much higher—unlawful internet gambling definitions are updated to include these prohibited events, making it a federal crime to facilitate these trades online.