PolicyBrief
H.R. 1531
119th CongressFeb 24th 2025
Pressure Regulatory Organizations To End Chinese Threats to Taiwan Act
IN COMMITTEE

Aims to exclude China's representatives from international banking organizations if China threatens Taiwan, until the threat subsides or it's against U.S. interests.

Frank Lucas
R

Frank Lucas

Representative

OK-3

LEGISLATION

PROTECT Taiwan Act: U.S. Aims to Kick China Out of Key Financial Groups If Taiwan is Threatened

The "Pressure Regulatory Organizations To End Chinese Threats to Taiwan Act," or PROTECT Taiwan Act, is pretty much what it sounds like. If China makes moves that threaten Taiwan's security or put U.S. interests at risk, this bill gives the U.S. the power to try and boot Chinese representatives from major international banking groups. Think of organizations like the G20, the Bank for International Settlements, and the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision – places where big financial decisions get made.

Kicking China Out: How It Works

The bill puts the ball in the President's court. If the President tells Congress that China is posing a threat, the Secretary of the Treasury, the Federal Reserve, and the SEC have to start working to exclude Chinese representatives from these banking organizations' meetings and activities. The idea is to use access to these groups as leverage. The bill specifically names:

  • The Group of Twenty (G20)
  • The Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
  • The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS)
  • The Financial Stability Board (FSB)
  • The International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS)
  • The International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO)

The "Just Kidding" Clause

Now, there's a catch. The President can waive this exclusion if it's deemed to be in the "national interest" of the U.S. To do that, they have to send a report to specific congressional committees explaining why keeping China in these groups is better for the U.S. than kicking them out. This is Section 2(b) of the bill. It's designed to give the President some flexibility, but requires that they have to clearly justify their reasoning.

Time's Ticking

This whole policy has a built-in expiration date. It automatically ends five years after the law is enacted, or 30 days after the President tells Congress that ending it is in the national interest. Whichever comes first. (Section 2(c)). This means the policy isn't meant to be a permanent fixture, but rather a tool for a specific timeframe or situation.

Real-World Impact

Imagine you're a tech company in Austin relying on components made in Taiwan. Increased tensions between China and Taiwan could disrupt your supply chain, driving up costs and making it harder to get your products to market. This bill aims to deter China from taking actions that could destabilize the region and, by extension, your business. On the other hand, if you're a small business owner who sources goods from China, this bill could add another layer of uncertainty to your operations. Increased geopolitical tensions could lead to trade disruptions or higher tariffs. It's a double-edged sword, with potential benefits for regional stability but also potential risks for businesses caught in the crossfire.